GOP pollsters, media consultants, and other operatives privately concede that the drumbeat of bad numbers coming in — but not publicly released — has become depressing and alarming. What most concerns GOP strategists is that these congressional polls may not fully capture the extent of their party’s problems, because other polling shows that Republican voters are disillusioned about the Iraq war, the federal budget deficit, illegal immigration, port security, gasoline prices, the response to Hurricane Katrina, and so on — and are showing less interest than Democrats in the November election.
Since our Cook Election Preview supplement to the May 6 National Journal, we’ve moved two contests from “lean Republican” to “toss-up” — for the open CA-50 seat vacated by Randy (Duke) Cunningham, which first will be filled by a June 6 runoff and then fought over again in November, and the KY-04 rematch between Republican freshman Rep. Geoff Davis and Ken Lucas, his Democratic predecessor.
And 12 contests shifted from “likely Republican” to “lean Republican” — those involving GOP incumbents Richard Pombo (CA-11), Nancy Johnson (CT-05), Anne Northup (KY-03), Jon Porter (NV-03), Jeb Bradley (NH-01), Charles Bass (NH-02), Michael Ferguson (NJ-07), John Sweeney (NY-20), Randy Kuhl (NY-29), Curt Weldon (PA-07), Don Sherwood (PA-10), and Thelma Drake (VA-02).
More and more Republican incumbents previously thought to be in reasonably good shape are in danger.
One Response to “Leaning”
-
Recent Posts
-
Archives
- July 2008 (40)
- June 2008 (394)
- May 2008 (336)
- April 2008 (351)
- March 2008 (379)
- February 2008 (355)
- January 2008 (434)
- December 2007 (350)
- November 2007 (323)
- October 2007 (364)
- September 2007 (329)
- August 2007 (415)
- July 2007 (411)
- June 2007 (395)
- May 2007 (259)
- April 2007 (208)
- March 2007 (214)
- February 2007 (228)
- January 2007 (290)
- December 2006 (395)
- November 2006 (562)
- October 2006 (497)
- September 2006 (522)
- August 2006 (479)
- July 2006 (394)
- June 2006 (383)
- May 2006 (417)
- April 2006 (342)
- March 2006 (474)
- February 2006 (445)
- January 2006 (494)
- December 2005 (419)
- November 2005 (448)
- October 2005 (510)
- September 2005 (454)
- August 2005 (508)
- July 2005 (532)
- June 2005 (458)
- May 2005 (330)
- April 2005 (429)
- March 2005 (475)
- February 2005 (458)
- January 2005 (446)
- December 2004 (356)
- November 2004 (440)
- October 2004 (433)
- September 2004 (298)
- August 2004 (353)
- July 2004 (319)
- June 2004 (366)
- May 2004 (347)
- April 2004 (389)
- March 2004 (468)
- February 2004 (399)
- January 2004 (417)
- December 2003 (293)
- November 2003 (281)
- October 2003 (320)
- September 2003 (331)
- August 2003 (287)
- July 2003 (323)
- June 2003 (332)
- May 2003 (433)
- 0 (1)
-
Categories
- Action Alert (32)
- Arts & Music (443)
- Astral Weather (15)
- Blind Justice (120)
- Blogosphere (114)
- Class War (174)
- Corporate Statism (424)
- Customer Service Hell (19)
- Dirty Rotten Scoundrels (446)
- Disastrous (19)
- Feature or Bug (4)
- Friday Fun (9)
- FUBAR (9)
- Fuck the Poor (133)
- Full Frontal Feminism (44)
- Geek Stuff (43)
- General (7540)
- Higher Ground (69)
- Humor (90)
- Imaginary Global Warming (46)
- Impeach This (63)
- IOKIYAR (83)
- Just a Goddamn Piece of Paper (84)
- Just Plain Crazy (36)
- Life in the Big City (23)
- Media (321)
- My So-Called Life (112)
- Oddball (26)
- Our Booming Economy (195)
- Paranoia Strikes Deep (20)
- Picture This (6)
- Pointless Crap (4)
- Politics As Usual (1413)
- Power to the People (61)
- Progress (3)
- Recession Depression (162)
- Republicans Are Good With Money (73)
- Star Talk (4)
- Terra Terra Terra! (71)
- The American Game (12)
- The Best Healthcare in the World (73)
- The Body Electric (84)
- The Peter Principle (1)
- The Regime (486)
- The Shadow Knows (58)
- Theocracy (64)
- War Crimes (136)
- War Stories (125)
- Whiny Ass Titty Babies (2)
- Why I'm Not A Catholic Anymore (2)
-
Tags
Add new tag Democratic Media political coverage polls primary race
-
Pages
My Liberal Identity:
You are a Working Class Warrior, also known as a blue-collar Democrat. You believe that the little guy is getting screwed by conservative greed-mongers and corporate criminals, and you’re not going to take it anymore.
Take the quiz at www.FightConservatives.com
accoustic guitar tuner @ HTTAG
View My Stats Online Casino
It doesn’t matter — Diebold will set things straight as soon as the polls close.