Comments on: Momentum http://susiemadrak.com/2008/01/25/07/27/momentum-4/ Keeping a jaundiced eye on the corporate media. Sat, 22 Nov 2008 20:04:43 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.6 By: Ron http://susiemadrak.com/2008/01/25/07/27/momentum-4/#comment-135318 Ron Sat, 26 Jan 2008 00:57:56 +0000 http://susiemadrak.com/2008/01/25/07/27/momentum-4/#comment-135318 If either Clinton or Obama gained 7 points in a week, the media would be howling it from the rafters. Edwards gains and all we hear is crickets chirping. If either Clinton or Obama gained 7 points in a week, the media would be howling it from the rafters. Edwards gains and all we hear is crickets chirping.

]]> By: snuzy mandrake http://susiemadrak.com/2008/01/25/07/27/momentum-4/#comment-135304 snuzy mandrake Fri, 25 Jan 2008 15:22:40 +0000 http://susiemadrak.com/2008/01/25/07/27/momentum-4/#comment-135304 <i>He’s up seven points in one week, relative to the other candidates. Make of it what you will.</i> if it exceeds the MOE, it's probably measuring something real. if the poll you're referring to has the same MOE, then it's probably measuring something. you effectively have to double the MOE to tell if you're talking about the difference between two candidates (as each candidate's score could wobble within the MOE. so obama's "true" score could be as much as 3.4% lower and edwards' could be as much as 3.4% higher. which means an apparent spread of as much as 6.8% could be nothing but polling error). He’s up seven points in one week, relative to the other candidates. Make of it what you will.

if it exceeds the MOE, it’s probably measuring something real.

if the poll you’re referring to has the same MOE, then it’s probably measuring something. you effectively have to double the MOE to tell if you’re talking about the difference between two candidates (as each candidate’s score could wobble within the MOE. so obama’s “true” score could be as much as 3.4% lower and edwards’ could be as much as 3.4% higher. which means an apparent spread of as much as 6.8% could be nothing but polling error).

]]> By: lutton http://susiemadrak.com/2008/01/25/07/27/momentum-4/#comment-135303 lutton Fri, 25 Jan 2008 15:16:04 +0000 http://susiemadrak.com/2008/01/25/07/27/momentum-4/#comment-135303 How did the fundraising blitz turn out? Even I chipped in a few bucks... How did the fundraising blitz turn out? Even I chipped in a few bucks…

]]> By: Susie http://susiemadrak.com/2008/01/25/07/27/momentum-4/#comment-135300 Susie Fri, 25 Jan 2008 14:44:36 +0000 http://susiemadrak.com/2008/01/25/07/27/momentum-4/#comment-135300 He's up seven points in one week, relative to the other candidates. Make of it what you will. He’s up seven points in one week, relative to the other candidates. Make of it what you will.

]]> By: snuzy mandrake http://susiemadrak.com/2008/01/25/07/27/momentum-4/#comment-135299 snuzy mandrake Fri, 25 Jan 2008 14:40:35 +0000 http://susiemadrak.com/2008/01/25/07/27/momentum-4/#comment-135299 can you really say there's a gain if the change is within the margin of error? technically, the poll measured no change at all. persistent ignorance of what a margin of error means is <a href="http://upyernoz.blogspot.com/2007/12/edwards-surges.html" rel="nofollow">one of my pet peeves</a>. can you really say there’s a gain if the change is within the margin of error? technically, the poll measured no change at all.

persistent ignorance of what a margin of error means is one of my pet peeves.

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