Humble Pie
Apr 23rd, 2008 at 10:36 am by Susie
The guys at Public Policy Polling have a sense of humor. (Hey Chris, maybe you should apply!)
First off, please do not call us or e-mail us and tell us we suck! We are well aware, and it does not feel good.
It’s pretty easy, based on the exit polls, to see where we went wrong. We had the black vote at 18% when it turned out to be 14-15%, and we had the under 45 vote at 41% when it turned out to be 31%.
I reweighted the results from our final Pennsylvania poll to those figures for race and age, and the result of our poll was flipped- Hillary leading 49-46. Assume she pulled 60% of the undecideds and that gives her the 52-48 lead that the extrapolation from the original exit polls does.
chris doesn’t need any “weighing” or “polling data”. pulling a number out of his ass seems to have outperformed all the polls.
from now on, i only listen to chris.
so chris, tell us what will happen in NC and IN!
It’s too soon for me to make any of my awesome predictions for Indiana and North Carolina. Besides, right now I’m focusing all of my mental energy on the crucial Guam caucuses.
the word directly from an obama campaigner today, to the question why obama “didn’t really lose” was “she got really nasty.” yeah, that’s what people are responding to. they just can’t help being attracted to her nastiness.
Chris, you psychic you!!!!