This nightmare just keeps getting worse:
There have been several reports of oil and gas leaking on the cracks in the Gulf of Mexico seafloorwhich may cause problems with BP capping the gushing oil well.
Although BP denies that there is oil or gas leaking from the cracks in the sea floor many people watching the BP Oil leak cam have witnessed explosions and leaks from the seafloor.
I discussed this issue in detail when I was recently interviewed by Fintan Dunne.
Well those reports from Senator Nelson and Matt Simmons among other experts are now confirmed and if you didn’t already now it could be really bad news.
As Keith Olbermann put it on his MSNBC show “Countdown” when reporting about the possibility of the sea floor leaking “What’s Worse Than Doomsay? … This is It”.
In any case, BP denying these reports is absolute proof that BP is not being truthful about what is really going on the sea floor.
Alex Higgins is wrong and his observations don’t constitute facts.
The plumes are consistent with ROV thrusters blowing sediment around.
Really. Seriously. Natural seeps are the norm in the 1,000 feet or so of Mississippi River sediment around the Macondo 252 site in Mississippi Canyon section of the Gulf. Higgins is, if not a nutter, embarrassingly wrong.
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/6599#comment-649805
And further, the pudding-like sediment at the accident site seafloor precludes any sort of “nuking” the well bore to close it and stop the flow.
There’s a decent chance that the casing could rupture beneath the surface or that the relief wells might fail just like the two wells that the Deepwater Horizon drilled before it (the first well trapped a drill string and bit and had to be abandoned). It’s a killer geology. An olicano, mean much worse than what we’ve got now, is a 50-50 possibility.
Natural seeps: http://geology.com/nasa/oil-seeps/
Note the challenges box in the upper right corner of this: http://www.halliburton.com/public/solutions/…/GOM_DWMap.pdf
Dougr, commenter at The Oil Drum, has a loooong comment with lots of links. Seems knowledgeable, but Capt. Fantastic, what do you think?
Lots more to read.
I’ve been following the Oil Drum commentary and watching the ROV feeds and there’s lots of reality-based commentary from real experts over there. It is not a sure thing that this will end in a totally uncontrolled oilcano, though that IS a possibility. The geology is tricky there and that’s why I only give the relief wells a 50-50 chance, but they’re drilling two, so maybe the odds are better. I cannot, however, buy into this total disaster mindset. It’s a catastrophe, to be sure, but we’re just about at the worst case scenario already. The ROV guys and all those people working to stop the leak know they’re working over a killer well and most of them are taking this personally and doing their level best to stop this thing. Note that many of them are not BP employees, but contractors working for BP. Many of them are locals to the Gulf region, too. Any speculation as to BP’s motives at this point are strictly tin-foil-hat territory, as are assumptions of evil intent. Those guys are out there on ships that are not moving with highly flammable oil and natural gas bubbling up around them near a huge plume of fire from the natural gas flaring operation and trying to manage this catastrophe.
That said, there is an more-than-even chance stopping this well might fail and that it could be a cultural game-changer. A reservoir of 100 million barrels of oil could take a while to stop spewing. Natural gas to oil ration is about 2,000 cubic feet of gas to each barrel (42 gallons) of crude. Granted that BP has an interested in controlling the information and they are, but wild end-times speculation is ridiculous on the other end of the spectrum. There’s been so much speculation over on the Oil Drum that any one of the possible scenarios have been covered in the many-worlds quantum theory sense.
This is Obama’s test. I moun for the Gulf I have known and loved. The delta marshes will certainly die off and wash away. BP can burn for all I care…
Correntewire also posted about this comment, and now I can’t access The Oil Drum. Connection??
Cue the Jaws’ shark music….
Forgot to thnk you for your evaluation and reply, Cap’n!
You’re welcome. I’m no expert. 🙂
This just in: http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2010/06/14/us/politics/AP-US-Gulf-Oil-Spill-Washington.html?_r=1&hp
Not looking so good for the BeePee managers…