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New Poll

Apr 5th, 2008 at 12:16 am by Susie

What goes up must come down.

Posted in Politics As Usual

3 Responses to “New Poll”

on 05 Apr 2008 at 8:29 am1memyself

Looking at all polls plotted on one chart what it looks like is a flattening of the rate of increase for the past few weeks for both candidates. The combination of statistical error and undecideds has basically had Clinton and Obama tied since right after super Tuesday, with Obama showing more data points on the plus side. From a big picture perspective I’d say Obama’s rate of increase in support was probably slowed by the ginning up of the Wright “controversy” but that the support he had already achieved remained pretty steady.

CBS has a new poll that shows the Wright issue being left behind.

“Obama is viewed unfavorably by 24 percent of all voters, back to where it was before last month’s controversy over his former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright.”

http://www.pollster.com/08-US-Dem-Pres-Primary.php
on 05 Apr 2008 at 12:31 pm2k

I am truly a freak, because that whole Wright crisis made me more supportive of Obama, maybe because I went through and read all those inconvenient back stories.
on 05 Apr 2008 at 9:59 pm3memyself

Interestingly Obama’s higher rate of increase relative to Clinton’s in the PA polls does not seem to have been impacted:

http://www.pollster.com/08-PA-Dem-Pres-Primary.php

If the trends hold, Hillary wins PA by 5 - 8 % while Obama wins NC by close to 20%:

http://www.pollster.com/08-NC-Dem-Pres-Primary.php

If the margins do look like the trends predict, there be little to no net delegate gain for Clinton between the two races.

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