In the brief moments that aren’t awful, 2016 is kind of fun. pic.twitter.com/maCQKcB8xf
— Jamison Foser (@jamisonfoser) August 4, 2016
I don’t normally write about polls, because we still have a way to go and they can be a misleading distraction. Some of this is a post-convention bump (even after Wikileaks). But this has been the best week for Clinton in a while. (This far out in 2008, Obama had a 1.7+ average lead over McCain. Clinton’s is a +6 average over Trump.)
- Fox News has Hillary ahead by 49% to 39%. Fox News has Hillary ahead by 49% to 39%.
- Franklin & Marshall College poll shows 49% Hillary, 38% Donald among likely voters. Senate: Katie McGinty leads Pat Toomey, 39% to 38%.
- Salt Lake Tribune/Hinkley Institute: In Utah (!), Hillary has 36% to 35% for Donald.
- RABA Research: Hillary up, 46%-31%. (No, you’re not seeing things. That’s +15.)
- Detroit News/WDIV TV has Hillary with a large lead on Donald, 41% to 32%. From the story: “The poll contains many troubling signs for Trump’s White House campaign, including a ‘shocking’ lead for Clinton in the Republican strongholds of west and southwest Michigan, pollster Richard Czuba said.”
- CNN/ORC Poll: Hillary 52% to 43%. (In other interesting news, this poll showed Clinton had 91% of Bernie voters.)
- Civitas NC: Donald ahead, 46% to 42%. This is a lot tighter than you’d expect in a Southern state.
- ICITIZEN Tennessee: Donald ahead, 49% to 33%. Still relatively close.
- PBS General Election: Hillary ahead, 45% to 40%.
- Reuters/IPSO online poll: Hillary’s ahead of Donald 40% to 35% for the general election.
- FL Suffolk Poll: Hillary 48% to 32%.
- FL Latino Voices poll (Latinos only): Hillary 78.6% to 12.9% for Donald. In 2012, Romney got 39%.
Polls are just a snapshot in time. But sometimes they're a snapshot of a severed arm.
— Mark Halperin (@MarkHalperin) August 4, 2016
2 thoughts on “Polls, polls, polls”
TPM Polltracker has Clinton +4 in GEORGIA!!! So I’m not surprised NC is in play.
Now if we can turn out the vote and people vote straight Dem down ballot.
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