That NYT/Siena poll

I keep telling you not to pay attention to polls. II can’t believe how many people I know are freaking out about this one. Remember in 2022, when the same outfit predicted a red wave and that the Dobbs effect was over?

Always look at the crosstabs.

Trump is tied with women and up 8 points with millenials? Please.

It’s a small pool of voters and the majority of them are Republicans, which just doesn’t reflect voting patterns.

Besides, Republicans are always loyal. Democrats don’t come back into the fold until closer to the election.