Which brings us, finally, back to Dem strategy (if you can call it that) on government funding. Much of the critical and doomerist discussion of the fight focuses on Democrats’ offer to negotiate a short term funding bill with health care funding, but they ignore that the beat reporting which they sometimes cite describes a two-part offer: Healthcare, plus a reversal on Trump’s attack on funding. They’re ignoring details like this:
Party leaders have signaled that they plan to use the looming funding showdown to press for reversals of Medicaid cuts, extensions of expiring Affordable Care Act subsidies, and limits on President Donald Trump’s spending authority—even if it means shouldering the political risk if negotiations collapse.
[snip]
Coons added that Democrats also want assurances that Trump cannot simply claw back funding after Congress approves it. “We need to trust you so that when we reach an appropriations deal it sticks, and reverses the damage that’s been done,” Coons said, pointing to the President’s repeated use of rescissions to cancel spending. [my emphasis]
The healthcare funding is important. But if it is yoked with a demand that Republicans reclaim their constitutional power of the purse, it would be a far more important stand against Trump. It would be the appropriate, minimal ask. And if Democrats make that clear in the next two weeks, it would also be the message that Ezra can’t discern in a post ignoring the centrality of rescissions to this fight.
Notably, Politico describes how this battle is creating fissures within Republican ranks, as well as between the parties.
Battle lines are emerging on Capitol Hill in the fight to avert a government shutdown in three weeks — and it’s not just Republicans vs. Democrats.
On one side, fiscal hawks are joining with the White House to keep federal agencies running on static funding levels, ideally into January or longer. On the other, Democrats and some top Republicans want to punt no further than November to buy congressional negotiators more time to cut a cross-party compromise on fresh funding totals for federal programs.
In the end, the standoff could hinge on Speaker Mike Johnson’s appetite for trying to pass a funding package backed by President Donald Trump but not Democrats, as he did in the spring — and whether Senate Democrats once again capitulate rather than see government operations grind to a halt Oct. 1.
“They jammed us last time,” Sen. Brian Schatz (D-Hawaii), a top appropriator, said in an interview. “And I am encouraging my Republican friends who want to do appropriations to understand that that won’t work this time.”
Even more irate after Trump’s latest move to unilaterally cancel almost $5 billion in foreign aid through a so-called pocket rescission, Democrats are warning there will be a funding lapse if Republicans don’t negotiate with them. And while they’re being cautious not to box themselves in with ultimatums on funding totals or specific policy demands, they’re starting to flex their muscles by floating concessions Republicans could make in exchange for support across the aisle.
That includes making a deal by the end of the year to head off the expiration of enhanced health insurance subsidies that would result in premium hikes come January for millions of Americans.
Appropriators Tom Cole and Susan Collins have worked hard to accrue power that Trump has usurped. Neither, alone, can convince their colleagues to start acting like a co-equal branch of government again.
Those are quite literally the stakes — the stakes that barely got mentioned in wonky Ezra’s 3,200-word post talking about failures of messaging, even though those stakes have been reported in the beat press for weeks.
Trump has told Congress he doesn’t want Congress and its co-equal constitutional role to exist anymore. Such a stance provides Dems in Congress an opportunity to convince their colleagues they should defy their liege. It also ought to guide messaging, especially for people with a platform like Ezra’s.
But it’s really no more than an opportunity, similar to opportunities Republicans have declined to avail themselves of in recent weeks.
I certainly think it likely that fewer than four Republican Senators will assert their own prerogatives, and in that case, I think Dems have little choice but to refuse to participate in the willful capitulation of constitutional authority. The message, though, would be simple — or should be if one-time wonks like Ezra can figure it out before then. Republicans are refusing to perform the role that the Constitution reserves for them.
That is, quite literally, what this is about.
I’d say that’s an easy message. It ought to be a message that would hold not just Trump, but individual members of Congress who’ll be accountable to all the constituents who’ll suffer in a shutdown, necessary leverage to ensure that government ever reopens (one of Schumer’s points in March that Ezra simply ignores). But thus far, the push for feckless catharsis seems far stronger than the search for tools to fight fascism.
Update: Matt Glassman and Jonathan Bernstein both think a shutdown won’t work the way Dems want it to, which are both worth a read. Like Ezra, neither presents a plan to fight fascism.
