— Marc Levy (@timelywriter) February 19, 2018
PHILADELPHIA — The Pennsylvania Supreme Court on Monday released a new congressional district map, upending familiar boundaries, renumbering districts across the state and giving a potential boost to Democrats in the 2018 House elections.
Per Cook PVI, the PA map went from (i) 14 R seats (of varying strength) and 4 D seats to (ii) 10 R seats and 8 D seats. Trump won PA by 1.2%, the court drew a R+2 map, and this is @hotlinejosh’s take. pic.twitter.com/vzSvvGRrRp
— southpaw (@nycsouthpaw) February 19, 2018
The result: Dems have a great shot to win 8-11 of PA's 18 seats in November. Under a truly partisan-blind compact map, maybe 7-10. Under old GOP map, maybe 6-9.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) February 19, 2018
Been seeing takes saying new PA map is a Dem gerrymander. Nope! Still has a 3% bias toward the GOP (per mean-median test). And per my models, Democrats don’t even win a majority of PA’s seats until they win the House popular vote by 16 (SIXTEEN) points. https://t.co/AJIFheF378
— G. Elliott Morris (@gelliottmorris) February 19, 2018