Personally, I’d be very, very surprised if the Republicans win control. Just not feeling it. What are you hearing from the people where you live?
Wang is flatly predicting that the probability of Democratic control of the Senate at 93 percent as of today, and 70 percent on Election Day. He summarizes his six core principles of his model at the Princeton Election Consortium. Wang disagrees in his model with the number one election forecasting guru, Nate Silver.