Ed at Gin and Tacos:
It is possible that I am projecting my own considerable ambivalence and malaise toward this election, although I’m fairly certain that it has some basis in reality. An incumbent with a 45% approval rating is being challenged by a Massachusetts Mormon with no definable position on any major issues. This feels like an election to be tolerated, endured, or trudged through. Even the most zealous partisans appear to be drawing their enthusiasm mostly from hatred of The Other Guy rather than genuine fondness for their own candidate.
There are many problems with the idea that Obama won in 2008 because of a surge of new young and/or minority voters, principally the fact that Obama won every single demographic except white males over 40. While participation among young, black, or Latino voters did rise, he succeeded because he convinced a lot of the people who always vote to vote for him. You don’t win Indiana as a Democrat simply by turning out a few more college kids. This is relevant because lower turnout won’t necessarily imply bad news for Obama. Instead his problem is that the white lower-class voters that he managed to win in 2008 appear to have gone Full Teabag since then and they’re unlikely to support him again.
Attempts at analysis aside, the most outstanding feature of this election so far seems to be how little attention we are paying to it as an electorate. My personal feelings are much closer to “Let’s just get this goddamn thing over with” than any genuine curiosity or excitement about the outcome. The faithful of the respective parties are already decided. Undecideds are few and uncertain to the extent that they dislike both candidates. Sprinkle this whole mess with millions (billions?) of SuperPac dollars that will be blown on annoying, sub-moronic advertising and you’ve got yourself a fine recipe for a campaign we will all be doing our damnedest to ignore while the candidates and media go through the motions.